Saturday, August 5, 2017

SPACE JUNK DANGER - There are nearly 20,000 pieces of space debris around Earth - from such small objects as gloves and cameras to pieces of rockets and artificial satellites. Most of it eventually comes back to Earth. That's the bad news. The good news, for us on Earth at least, the chances of something hitting us on land are fairly small.

70% of all catalogued objects are in low-Earth orbit (LEO), which extends to 2000 km (1200 miles) above the Earth's surface. To observe Earth, spacecraft must orbit at such a low altitude. The spatial density of objects increases at high latitudes. Note: The debris field shown in the image is an artist's impression based on actual data. However, the debris objects are shown at an exaggerated size to make them visible at the scale shown. European Space Agency
Space Junk Danger
What You Should Know About 'Space Junk'

by Carolyn Collins Petersen
In the movie Gravity, a group of astronauts finds out first-hand what it might be like for space explorers to run into an orbiting bit of space debris.
The results are not good, although at least one astronaut makes it through safely.
Although the movie has generated a lot of discussion among space experts about its accuracy in some places, it highlights a growing problem that we don't often think about here on Earth (and probably should) -- space junk returning home. 
WHAT GOES UP OFTEN COMES DOWN
There's a cloud of space debris around Earth. Most of it eventually comes back to Earth, such as the object WTF1190F, piece of hardware likely dating back to the Apollo mission days.
Its return to Earth on November 13, 2015 can tell scientists a lot about what happens as material plunges through our atmosphere (and "burns up" on the way down). 
It's particularly important for people in the space launch business because there are nearly 20,000 pieces of space debris up there.
Most of it ranges from such small objects as gloves and cameras to pieces of rockets and artificial satellites.
There's enough "stuff" up there to pose a real danger to such objects as Hubble Space Telescope and weather and communications satellites, as well as those of us on Earth.
That's the bad news. The good news, for us on Earth at least, the chances of something hitting us on land are fairly small.
It's far more likely that a piece of space debris will fall into the oceans, or at least into an unhabitated part of a continent. 
To keep launch vehicles and orbiting satellites from running into these bits of space junk, organizations such as the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) observes and maintains a list of known objects orbiting Earth.
Before every launch (and as satellites orbit the globe), the positions of all known debris must be known so that the launches and orbits can proceed without damage.
THE ATMOSPHERE CAN BE A DRAG (AND THAT'S GOOD!)
Pieces of junk in orbit can and do get caught up in our planet's atmosphere, just as meteoroids do. That slows them down, in a process called "atmospheric drag".
If we're lucky, and a piece of orbital debris is small enough, it will likely vaporize as it falls to Earth under the tug of our planet's gravity.
(This is  exactly what happens to meteoroids when they encounter our atmosphere and the resulting flare of light we see as they vaporize is called a meteor.
Earth regularly encounters streams of meteoroids, and when it does, we often see meteor showers.) 
But, larger pieces of space junk can pose a threat to folks on Earth as well as get in the way or orbiting stations and satellites. 
Earth's atmosphere is not the same "size" all the time.
For example, scientists need to know how the density of the atmosphere changes over time in the low-Earth orbit (LEO) zone.
That's an area several hundred miles above the surface of our planet where most orbiting materials (including satellites and the International Space Station) exist. 
THE SUN PLAYS A ROLE IN SPACE JUNK RE-ENTRY

Heating by the Sun helps "swell" our atmosphere, and waves propagating from lower in the atmosphere can also have an effect.
But, there are other events that affect our atmosphere and could have the effect of catapulting larger objects toward Earth's surface.
Occasional solar storms cause the upper atmosphere to expand.
These erratic solar storms (caused by coronal mass ejections) can zip from the Sun toward Earth in less than two days, and they produce rapid changes in air density. 
Again, most space "junk" falling to Earth can and does vaporize on the way down. But, larger pieces can land and cause damage on our planet.
Imagine being in the neighborhood if a large piece of a defunct satellite fell on your house?
Or, imagine what would happen if a large solar storm resulted in enough atmospheric drag to pull a working satellite (or a space station) into a lower and more potentially dangerous orbit?
It would not be good news for the satellite operators or the astronauts working aboard the International Space Station.
The U.S. Air Force (which is involved with NORAD), and the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), the University of Colorado at Boulder, and the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space Weather Prediction Center work together to forecast space weather events and the effects they have on our atmosphere.
Understanding those events will help us all in the long run by understanding the same effects on the orbits of space junk.
Ultimately, the junk trackers will be able to forecast more accurate orbits and trajectories of space debris in near-Earth space. 
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